What is the current probability for "BTC price on June 25"?

The contested Gemini outcomes for "BTC price on June 25" are $59,500 or above 92%, $59,750 or above 91%, $60,000 or above 87% — 2 of 12 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 6/25/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/107297. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Gemini

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event12 outcomes

BTC price on June 25

·Crypto·ends Jun 25, 2026

vol cum

$14.4k

vol 24h

$14.4k

outcomes

ends

Jun 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on June 25, 2026 at 5pm ET

Bitcoin

marketselected outcome

$59,000 or above

rank #1

96¢

▲ 6.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.02

ends

Jun 25, 2026

If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $59,000 or above on June 25, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026closing sooncloses · Jun 25, 2026

$59,000 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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