pdatanews

markets

The first 50 of 18,230 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

  1. Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026? — Manifold, 2%, M127.5k 24h volume.
  2. Fed Decision in December? — Polymarket, 25 bps increase 91%, $4.7M 24h volume.
  3. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Opinion, Mark Kelly 99%, $294.7k 24h volume.
  4. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Polymarket, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, $2.3M 24h volume.
  5. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — Predict, Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? 1%, $117.9k 24h volume.
  6. Next CEO of NVIDIA? — Polymarket, Candidate S 50%, $1.1M 24h volume.
  7. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — Polymarket, 1%, $1.1M 24h volume.
  8. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Polymarket, Jon Ossoff 17%, $1M 24h volume.
  9. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Polymarket, November 13 99%, $1M 24h volume.
  10. Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? — Manifold, Other 30%, M29.2k 24h volume.
  11. Next French Presidential Election — Polymarket, Marine Le Pen 46%, $818.8k 24h volume.
  12. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Predict, 0 (0 bps) 98%, $72.6k 24h volume.
  13. Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? — Manifold, Zohran Mamdani 23%, M22.4k 24h volume.
  14. Fed Decision in December? — Predict, 25 bps increase 91%, $62.2k 24h volume.
  15. Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap — Polymarket, $1.25–$1.5T 38%, $631.3k 24h volume.
  16. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Polymarket, Jon Ossoff 26%, $626.6k 24h volume.
  17. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — Predict, Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? 1%, $54.2k 24h volume.
  18. Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each) — Manifold, Other 16%, M18.9k 24h volume.
  19. Alaska Senate winner? — Kalshi, Democratic party 100%, $5.3M 24h volume.
  20. Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026? — Polymarket, 220-239 88%, $493.8k 24h volume.
  21. Will Anthropic IPO by Nov 20? — Manifold, 93%, M17k 24h volume.
  22. Alaska Senate Election Winner — Polymarket, Mary Peltola (D) 100%, $389.4k 24h volume.
  23. US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) — Polymarket, December 31 81%, $393.1k 24h volume.
  24. Jensen Huang divorce by...? — Polymarket, March 31, 2027 37%, $368.2k 24h volume.
  25. 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Kalshi, Jon Ossoff 26%, $3.3M 24h volume.
  26. Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? — Polymarket, ↑$1.5T 82%, $341.8k 24h volume.
  27. Fed Decision in January? — Polymarket, 25 bps increase 56%, $284.4k 24h volume.
  28. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Predict, James Talarico 46%, $34k 24h volume.
  29. US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — Polymarket, March 31 59%, $290.2k 24h volume.
  30. Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? — Polymarket, 180-199 16%, $305.3k 24h volume.
  31. Who will be the next CEO of NVIDIA? — Kalshi, Ian Buck 28%, $2.6M 24h volume.
  32. 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Kalshi, Jon Ossoff 17%, $2.3M 24h volume.
  33. Polymarket IPO by _? — Predict, December 31, 2027 29%, $27.5k 24h volume.
  34. Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Kalshi, Hike 25bps 92%, $2.1M 24h volume.
  35. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket, 8%, $246.7k 24h volume.
  36. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? — Polymarket, December 31 2%, $230.5k 24h volume.
  37. Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election? — Manifold, Other 21%, M9.1k 24h volume.
  38. Next Senate Democratic Leader? — Kalshi, Chuck Schumer 83%, $1.7M 24h volume.
  39. Largest Company end of December 2026? — Polymarket, Apple 85%, $133.8k 24h volume.
  40. 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Kalshi, J.D. Vance 34%, $1.5M 24h volume.
  41. 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? — Kalshi, Chuck Schumer 87%, $1.4M 24h volume.
  42. Elon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026? — Polymarket, 40-64 46%, $173.3k 24h volume.
  43. Anthropic IPO by __? — Polymarket, December 31, 2026 98%, $167k 24h volume.
  44. Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 52%, $165.5k 24h volume.
  45. Next Prime Minister of Spain? — Polymarket, Alberto Núñez Feijóo 84%, $155.2k 24h volume.
  46. Next Senate Majority Leader? — Polymarket, Chuck Schumer 86%, $145k 24h volume.
  47. November 2026 AI model releases — Manifold, Gemini 4 Carbon 100%, M6.8k 24h volume.
  48. Taipei Mayor Election Winner — Polymarket, Chiang Wan-an 66%, $166k 24h volume.
  49. What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026? — Predict, 飞驰人生3 99%, $16.9k 24h volume.
  50. Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by...? — Polymarket, December 31 55%, $133.2k 24h volume.