markets

sourceevent / marketprob.vol 24▾rankⓘchartendstatus

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Business

43¢

Ubisoft

$4.9M100Dec 31, 2026open

Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?

Tech

99¢

M33.5K88Oct 2, 2026open

How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?

Tech

25¢

2+ Anthropic employees resign

M23.6K82Oct 3, 2026open

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Politics

97¢

0 (0 bps)

$52.1K76Jan 1, 2027open

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Tech

42¢

M11K70Jan 2, 2028open

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Tech

89¢

M10K69Jan 2, 2028open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

99¢

Mark Kelly

$294.7K67Nov 7, 2028open

September 2026 AI model releases

Tech

100¢

Gemini 3.x (or 4.x) Flash

M8.6K66Sep 30, 2026open

Brazil Presidential Election

Politics

58¢

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3.9K66Oct 26, 2026open

Fed Decision in October?

PoliticsEconomy

69¢

25 bps increase

$710.2K66Oct 29, 2026open

California Governor Election Winner

Politics

95¢

Xavier Becerra

$26.9K65Nov 3, 2026open

Next French Presidential Election

WorldPoliticsElections

39¢

Marine Le Pen

$636.1K64Jan 1, 2028open

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Tech

100¢

3 or more

M7K63Dec 31, 2026open

Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?

Other

38¢

M6.9K63Jan 1, 2030open

Will I find a wife by the end of 2027?

Other

28¢

M6.8K63Dec 31, 2027open

Brazil Presidential Election

PoliticsWorld

58¢

Flávio Bolsonaro

$682.1K63Jul 1, 2027open

Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

CulturePolitics

100¢

40-64

$468.9K62Sep 28, 2026open

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Politics

76¢

March 31

$510.8K61Apr 1, 2027open

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

CulturePolitics

61¢

180-199

$424.1K61Sep 29, 2026open

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

ElectionsWorldPolitics

77¢

Magdalena Andersson

$392.9K60Jul 1, 2027open

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Politics

6¢

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

$22.9K60Jan 1, 2027open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

ElectionsPolitics

19¢

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$364K60Nov 8, 2028open

Fed Decision in December?

PoliticsEconomy

78¢

25 bps increase

$322.7K58Dec 10, 2026open

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Politics

97¢

September 30

$311K58Dec 31, 2026open

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

CulturePolitics

20¢

200-219

$297.5K57Oct 2, 2026open

Largest company end of September 2026?

FinanceTechBusiness

99¢

NVIDIA

M4.4K57Oct 1, 2026open

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

TechHealth

29¢

M4.3K57Jan 1, 2040open

Polymarket IPO by _?

Finance

33¢

December 31, 2027

$17.1K56Jan 1, 2028open

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Politics

14¢

December 31

$240.7K56Jan 1, 2027open

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Politics

77¢

October 31

$237.3K55Nov 1, 2026open

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Elections

16¢

Jon Ossoff

$664.9K55Nov 7, 2028open

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PoliticsElectionsWorld

51¢

Gadi Eizenkot

$199.2K54Dec 31, 2026open

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

World

5¢

M3.5K54Dec 31, 2026open

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Elections

62¢

Democrats sweep

$602.2K54Feb 8, 2027open

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Politics

6¢

December 31

$177.6K53Jan 1, 2027open

Trump renames AI by...?

PoliticsTech

61¢

December 31

$170.1K52Jan 1, 2027open

The Power of the Future: East or West?

Culture

47¢

$1.1K52Jan 1, 2100open

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Culture

1¢

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

$8.1K51Jan 1, 2027open

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

TechEconomy

24¢

M2.9K51Mar 14, 2029open

Will one AI lab pull ahead before 2028?

Tech

29¢

M2.8K51Dec 31, 2027open

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

PoliticsWorld

14¢

$146.3K51Jan 1, 2027open

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

Health

98¢

M2.8K51May 7, 2028open

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Elections

92¢

Democratic Party

$418K51Feb 1, 2027open

Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?

Politics

2¢

$1K51Sep 30, 2026open

Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?

Politics

3¢

$1K51Sep 30, 2026open

Fed Decision in October?

Economy

69¢

25 bps increase

$10.8K51Oct 28, 2026open

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Politics

8¢

$167.7K51Nov 1, 2026open

Which party will win the House in 2026?

PoliticsElections

93¢

Democratic Party

$138.3K51Jan 5, 2027open

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Politics

36¢

M2.7K50Dec 1, 2026open

Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?

Politics

99¢

Washington 8

M2.7K50Dec 2, 2026open