p|datav0.1news172
event20 outcomes

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Manifold·Politics·ends Dec 31, 2026
vol cum
M173.7k
vol 24h
M380
outcomes
20
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 20

This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of the Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit it in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it, and you'll get a bonus. Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories. If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. @Joshua credit for market idea. there will be no ai clarifications added to this market's description if you have a question, just ask in the comments :) !!!

politics-defaulttime-person-of-the-yearai-person-of-the-yearus-politicsculture-default
marketselected outcome
Zohran Mamdani
rank #1
United States
28¢
1.1pp
24h change
vol cum
M8k
vol 24h
M24
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Dec 8, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Zohran Mamdani · prices over time
−24h
now
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