Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
As of 07:12 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, “Zohran Mamdani” leads “Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?” on Manifold at 27%, followed by “Mark Carney” at 16% (+4pp in 24h) and “Other” at 13% (-12pp in 24h), out of 50 outcomes. The event has M$10.1k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.