Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Source: manifold·Event ID: ztUp00zh26·Ends:
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Markets
Other
- YES: 41¢
- NO: 59¢
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
- YES: 16¢
- NO: 84¢
Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)
- YES: 12¢
- NO: 88¢
Zohran Mamdani
- YES: 9¢
- NO: 91¢
Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)
- YES: 8¢
- NO: 92¢
Xi Jinping
- YES: 2¢
- NO: 98¢
Marco Rubio
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Sam Altman
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
James Talarico
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Dario Amodei
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Vladimir Putin
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Graham Platner
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Gavin Newsom
- YES: 1¢
- NO: 99¢
Claudia Sheinbaum
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Pete Hegseth
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Jeffrey Epstein
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Gen Z
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Elon Musk
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
AOC
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Jensen Huang
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Demis Hassabis
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Jerome Powell
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Gen Alpha
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Bad Bunny
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Jon Ossoff
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Narendra Modi
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Larry Ellison
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Scott Bessent
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Millenials
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Gen X
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Sundar Pichai
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Sydney Sweeney
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Ursula von der Leyen
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Kevin Hassett
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Baby Boomers
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Mark Zuckerberg
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Jasmine Crockett
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Ahmed al-Sharaa
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Nicholas Maduro
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Kevin Warsh
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Lisa Su
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢
Fei-Fei Li
- YES: 0¢
- NO: 100¢