pdatanews274
event50 outcomes

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Manifold·Culture·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 07:12 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, “Zohran Mamdani” leads “Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?” on Manifold at 27%, followed by “Mark Carney” at 16% (+4pp in 24h) and “Other” at 13% (-12pp in 24h), out of 50 outcomes. The event has M$10.1k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M174.6k
vol 24h
M10.1k
outcomes
50
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 50

This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.

time-person-of-the-yearai-person-of-the-year
marketselected outcome
Zohran Mamdani
rank #1
United States
27¢
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M37.5k
vol 24h
M2.3k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Nov 30, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Zohran Mamdani · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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