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event49 outcomes

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Manifold·Culture·ends Dec 31, 2026
vol cum
M150.6k
vol 24h
M2.5k
outcomes
49
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.

time-person-of-the-yearai-person-of-the-year
marketselected outcome
Zohran Mamdani
rank #1
United States
28¢
0.8pp
24h change
vol cum
M27.7k
vol 24h
M2.2k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Nov 30, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
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