Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
As of 07:36 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 39 markets in “Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?” on Manifold are “Zohran Mamdani” at 85%, “Pope Leo XIV” at 83% (+3pp in 24h) and “Donald Trump” at 72%. The event has M$20 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME. If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no. Must be explicitly named as the headline. Eg. If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like Reza Pahlavi wouldn’t count. Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people. (Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named) However if it was ‘Reza Pahlavi and the Iranian people’ Reza would resolve yes. Suggest answers below. Update 2026-04-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Artemis II crew is listed on the shortlist as a group (e.g. 'Artemis 2'), all individual crew members resolve YES. Individual crew members have been added as separate answer options.
