p|datav0.1news198
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews198MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews198MapMonitor
theme

news

refreshed 14m ago

Top picks

30 biggest stories across politics, tech, elections, economy, business, culture, health, world & more
W
PoliticsUnited StatesIran
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?↗
Polymarket · $20K 24h · 0 of 4 markets moved >15pp
1 / 30
Ahmad Vahidi12%+7pp↗
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani14%+4pp↗
Nick Stewart22%+2pp↗
Ishaq Dar30%+1pp↗
Top by 24h volume
Top countries
Min volume
Prob change (24h)
Search
Sources
Countries
▼
Polymarket$19.9k▾Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
$4.7kAhmad Vahidi12¢▲ 6.8pp
$4.4kMohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani14¢▲ 4.0pp
Kalshi$3.3k▾Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
$1.2kAbove 3563¢▲ 14.0pp
$2.1kAbove 4012¢▼ 2.0pp
Kalshi$3.2k▾Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
$1.7kAbove 3533¢▲ 4.0pp
$1.2kAbove 409¢▼ 7.0pp
$4.8k▾Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
$3.4kAugust 25100¢▲ 64.3pp
$1.5kAugust 236¢▼ 18.6pp
$1.8k▾Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$517August 3192¢▲ 52.5pp
$475September 1597¢▲ 26.4pp
$1.9kWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?40¢▲ 12.5pp
$640Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?26¢▼ 17.5pp
$6.6k▾When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
$353September 28–October 45¢▲ 4.0pp
$6kNo release by November 145¢▼ 7.0pp
$5.3kWill the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?11¢▲ 7.5pp
$2.9k▾Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
$1.1kOpenAI90¢▲ 75.0pp
$1.8kMoonshot7¢▼ 74.5pp
$2.7k▾Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
$1.4kMoonshot93¢▲ 82.5pp
$892OpenAI4¢▼ 78.9pp
$1.3k▾Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
$270OpenAI56¢▲ 21.0pp
$1.1kMoonshot30¢▼ 23.9pp
Polymarket$7.8kWill Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?12¢▲ 6.7pp
$1.6kWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?83¢▼ 5.5pp
$1.4kWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?59¢▲ 11.5pp
$1kWill Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?12¢▼ 6.5pp
$127Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?27¢▼ 18.5pp
$1.4kWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?22¢▲ 14.5pp
$1.1kWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?51¢▼ 18.0pp
$947Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?56¢▲ 26.5pp
$2kWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?40¢▲ 1.5pp
$963Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?77¢▲ 22.0pp
Polymarket$6.4k▾Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
$2.8kCarlos Jordy28¢▲ 6.0pp
$1.3kMarcelo Crivella3¢▼ 3.2pp
Polymarket$6kWill Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?53¢▲ 18.0pp
Polymarket$5.3k▾Tocantins Governor Election Winner
$1.7kProfessora Dorinha61¢▲ 29.0pp
$3.6kVicentinho Júnior39¢▼ 24.5pp
Polymarket$5.2k▾Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
$2.4kMarcelo Castro50¢▲ 15.0pp
$2.8kCiro Nogueira36¢▼ 12.5pp
Polymarket$5.1k▾Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
$2.1kGaguim34¢▲ 20.9pp
$3kAlexandre Guimarães47¢▲ 4.0pp
Polymarket$4.5k▾Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
$1.6kWeverton Rocha37¢▲ 22.5pp
$456Eliziane Gama2¢▼ 2.7pp
Polymarket$4.3k▾Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
$2.5kHumberto Costa29¢▲ 14.8pp
$1.8kMarília Arraes56¢▼ 12.0pp
Polymarket$3.1k▾Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place
$1.5kGleisi25¢▲ 15.9pp
$1.7kDeltan Dallagnol37¢▲ 7.0pp
Polymarket$3kWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?23¢▼ 19.5pp
Polymarket$2.4kWill Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?26¢▼ 12.5pp
$4.4k▾Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner
$3.2kRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18¢▲ 1.5pp
$916Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy1¢▼ 26.7pp
$1.3kWill Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?1¢▼ 15.4pp
$3.1k▾Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner
$1.7kJascha Rohr51¢▲ 10.0pp
$1.4kUlf Prange47¢▼ 8.5pp
$1.9kWill Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?12¢▼ 15.5pp
$212Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?89¢▼ 5.8pp
$2kWill Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?49¢▼ 4.0pp
$1.6k▾Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
$705Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli58¢▲ 15.5pp
$917Abimbola Adekanmbi42¢▲ 13.5pp
$1kWill Hembe Herman Iorwase C. win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?0¢▼ 17.9pp
$1.4kWill Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?44¢▼ 12.5pp
$910Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?37¢▼ 15.0pp
Kalshi$50.8k▾ US gas prices tomorrow
$28kAbove 4.100076¢▲ 1.0pp
$22.8kAbove 4.10505¢▼ 9.0pp
Polymarket$31.3kUS imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?100¢▲ 25.0pp
Kalshi$14.5k▾Diesel prices tomorrow
$2.4kAbove $5.60099¢▲ 99.0pp
$1.2kAbove $5.59599¢▲ 99.0pp
Kalshi$10k▾How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
$6.8kAbove 91,500 MW32¢▼ 39.0pp
$3.2kAbove 92,000 MW5¢▼ 28.0pp
$4.2k▾What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$1.2k$689K+45¢▲ 17.7pp
$361$663K - $689K27¢▼ 20.8pp
$1.6kWill the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?28¢▲ 16.7pp
$3.6k▾Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
$3kAugust 2495¢▲ 90.9pp
$551August 2717¢▲ 12.7pp
$1.2kWill USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?11¢▼ 18.5pp
$1.7kWill Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?32¢▲ 1.5pp
$1.7kWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?66¢▲ 11.3pp
$344.8kWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?3¢▼ 66.3pp
$397Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 24?100¢▲ 53.0pp
Polymarket$38.3k▾"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
$14.3k550 - 570m87¢▲ 23.5pp
$24k570m+11¢▼ 27.9pp
Kalshi$23.8k▾Grand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date
$1.2kBefore October 202644¢▼ 15.0pp
$22.6kBefore September 202626¢▼ 10.0pp
Predict$4.1k▾Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
$2.4kSeptember 3086¢▲ 18.6pp
$1.6kSeptember 1579¢▲ 15.6pp
Polymarket$753Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢▼ 15.4pp
Kalshi$622Will Glass Animals be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?26¢▲ 26.0pp
Kalshi$370Will BTS be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?23¢▲ 16.0pp
Polymarket$360Perfect Order Booster Box Price Over/Under $165.41 on August 31?80¢▲ 11.5pp
Predict$317Dota 2 player count peak in August above 1,000,000?4¢▼ 43.5pp
Kalshi$267Will Beyoncé have a #1 album this year?69¢▲ 8.0pp
Kalshi$165Will Bad Bunny be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?54¢▼ 15.0pp
$125.4k▾"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
$63.9k800 - 900m92¢▲ 25.0pp
$61.5k900m+9¢▼ 24.1pp
$38.6k▾"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
$15.4k<900m92¢▲ 23.5pp
$23.2k900 - 920m7¢▼ 26.0pp
$11.8kKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?34¢▼ 44.5pp
$597▾Eurovision 2027 Participants
$407Netherlands26¢▼ 67.5pp
$190Spain11¢▼ 37.0pp
$154Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?18¢▼ 16.5pp
$3.1k▾Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner
$1.8kAperture - Harry Styles2¢▼ 21.4pp
$1.4kChoosin' Texas - Ella Langley15¢▼ 14.0pp
$1.5kWill drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?8¢▼ 21.3pp
$562Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?21¢▲ 9.0pp
$190Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?50¢▲ 0.3pp
Kalshi$5.9k▾NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
$3.4kAbove $4.0088¢▲ 10.0pp
$2.5kAbove $4.5035¢▼ 10.0pp
Kalshi$5.3k▾When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
$4kBefore Oct 202680¢▲ 6.0pp
$480Before Sep 21, 202664¢▼ 25.0pp
$5.9kWill Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?59¢▲ 2.0pp
$2.5k▾Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$981September 956¢▲ 21.0pp
$1.5kSeptember 1572¢▲ 18.0pp
$817Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?37¢▲ 18.0pp
$213Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?53¢▲ 8.0pp
Kalshi$5.9kWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? — Before Oct 1, 202635¢▼ 7.0pp
Kalshi$138Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?75¢▲ 22.0pp
$1.8kCritical Discord Incident by August 31?13¢▼ 2.0pp
$1.7k▾GitHub.com critical incident by...?
$212September 3090¢▲ 8.5pp
$1.5kAugust 3156¢▼ 7.0pp
$10.9kWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?56¢▲ 17.5pp
$295Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 18-24?0¢▼ 23.4pp
Polymarket$2.8k▾Will Ink launch a token by ___?
$2.6kSeptember 30, 202629¢▲ 19.8pp
$167September 30, 202781¢▲ 0.5pp
Kalshi$10.1kWill Republican win the House race for NE-2? — Brinker Harding9¢▼ 18.0pp
Kalshi$5.6kWill Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?59¢▲ 6.0pp
$1.6k▾Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner
$629Robert Franklin75¢▲ 26.0pp
$1kJames Taylor17¢▼ 28.0pp
$612Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?95¢▼ 2.2pp
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026