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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?↗
Polymarket · $88K 24h · moved +12pp in 24h
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Kalshi$38.8k▾How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act?
$16.5kBecomes law without signature97¢▲ 26.0pp
$22.3kSigned3¢▼ 25.0pp
$87.9kUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?61¢▲ 11.5pp
$11.6kWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?19¢▲ 17.2pp
$117Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?42¢▼ 18.5pp
$10.2kWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?97¢▲ 17.9pp
$2.4kWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?46¢▲ 8.5pp
$307Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?16¢▼ 21.5pp
$424▾Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?
$124Dan Jarvis4¢▼ 39.4pp
$177Sally Jameson7¢▼ 37.9pp
$127Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?5¢▲ 1.3pp
$58.6k▾Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
$16.7k1460+3¢▼ 81.9pp
$16.4k1470+2¢▼ 68.5pp
$27.2k▾Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
$2.5k1450+99¢▲ 20.9pp
$10k1460+4¢▼ 59.0pp
$14.8k▾Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?
$4k1450+95¢▲ 5.4pp
$10.9k1470+2¢▼ 81.2pp
$3.6kWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?50¢▲ 21.9pp
$3.5kWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?22¢▼ 2.5pp
$2.7kWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?72¢▲ 7.0pp
Polymarket$29.3k▾Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
$15.8kGoogle58¢▲ 46.0pp
$13.5kAnthropic38¢▼ 39.0pp
Kalshi$24.5k▾Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
$6.9kAnthropic69¢▲ 19.0pp
$17.6kOpenAI26¢▼ 18.0pp
Kalshi$13.7k▾When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
$11.9kBefore Jul 24, 202623¢▼ 52.0pp
$1.7kBefore Jul 17, 20263¢▼ 15.0pp
Kalshi$9.5k▾Top Math AI this month
$6.1kGemini58¢▲ 40.0pp
$3.4kClaude40¢▼ 38.0pp
Kalshi$12.9kWill Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?23¢▲ 4.0pp
Kalshi$2.1kWill Count Binface Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?64¢▼ 3.0pp
$7kWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?42¢▲ 3.5pp
$3.9kWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?59¢▲ 15.1pp
$101Will Adriana Accorsi win the Governor of Goiás election?5¢▼ 35.5pp
Kalshi$45.7k▾US gas prices tomorrow?
$1.4kAbove 3.87599¢▲ 28.0pp
$3kAbove 3.90015¢▼ 53.0pp
Kalshi$5.9k▾How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
$1.5kAbove 5.75%15¢▼ 34.0pp
$566Above 5.25%47¢▼ 33.0pp
Kalshi$4.1kCPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.5%3¢▼ 96.0pp
Kalshi$2.5k▾CPI-U index in June
$681Above 335.00011¢▲ 4.0pp
$1.8kAbove 334.60061¢▼ 2.0pp
Polymarket$2.2kWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?9¢▼ 41.0pp
Kalshi$2kCPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? — Exactly -0.1%1¢▼ 97.0pp
Kalshi$1.7kWill US used cars and trucks CPI for June 2026 be above 180.0?16¢▼ 32.0pp
Kalshi$1.2k▾Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August
$1kCut 25bps86¢▲ 15.0pp
$204Maintain current rate14¢▼ 17.0pp
Kalshi$979CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026? — Exactly -0.2%60¢▲ 10.0pp
Kalshi$828Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in June 2026?28¢▲ 17.0pp
Kalshi$227How many Federal Reserve posts on X the week ending on Jul 16, 2026? — 12-1430¢▼ 16.0pp
$3.1k▾Core CPI MoM - July 2026
$1500.5%1¢▼ 42.4pp
$1660.6%+1¢▼ 40.8pp
$348Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?27¢▲ 20.8pp
$212Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?7¢▲ 4.0pp
$125Will PPI YoY be 6.7% or more in June?4¢▼ 2.0pp
$124Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?8¢▼ 1.0pp
$3.2k▾What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
$831<$419K38¢▲ 28.3pp
$763$433K - $440K9¢▼ 18.0pp
$1.8k▾What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
$828$1.169M - $1.185M45¢▲ 30.5pp
$989$1.137M - $1.153M17¢▼ 14.5pp
$480▾What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$128$530K - $536K2¢▼ 42.0pp
$125$518K - $524K7¢▼ 28.9pp
$335▾What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
$219$340K - $345K9¢▼ 23.0pp
$116$345K+17¢▼ 20.0pp
$248▾What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$148$609K - $636K5¢▼ 25.0pp
$100$689K+13¢▼ 23.3pp
$4.2k2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?6¢▼ 17.7pp
$1k▾USD x Iranian rials End of July?
$6791.7-1.8M35¢▲ 15.5pp
$3471.9M+20¢▼ 15.0pp
$3.7k▾Bank of Brazil decision in August?
$2k25 bps decrease88¢▲ 16.5pp
$1.8kNo Change9¢▼ 19.6pp
$1k▾Bank of Brazil decision in September?
$18625 bps decrease58¢▲ 26.9pp
$858No Change34¢▼ 23.5pp
Kalshi$871.4k▾Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination
$298.2kKC99¢▲ 21.0pp
$197.6kKayda1¢▼ 18.0pp
Kalshi$463.9k▾Who will be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future?
$153.6kTravis Scott1¢▼ 97.0pp
$69.7kDrake2¢▼ 55.0pp
Kalshi$214.6k▾Love Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples
$25.4kMelanie and Sincere61¢▲ 11.0pp
$157Alannah and Zach1¢▼ 94.0pp
Polymarket$151.3kTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?100¢▲ 17.0pp
Kalshi$56.5k▾Love Island USA S8: 2nd place couple
$14.3kAniya and Carl69¢▲ 20.0pp
$30.4kTierra and KC1¢▼ 9.0pp
Polymarket$42.7k▾Who will be featured on Future's "The Real Me"?
$2kTravis Scott0¢▼ 60.5pp
$2.6kYoung Thug0¢▼ 52.0pp
Kalshi$28.8k▾Love Island USA S8: 3rd place couple
$8.5kKayda and Zach34¢▲ 0.0pp
$15.1kTierra and KC1¢▼ 12.0pp
Kalshi$10.3k▾Love Island UK Week 6: Elimination
$1.3kAidan2¢▼ 49.0pp
$932Priya1¢▼ 28.0pp
$2.9k▾Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series
$251Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”22¢▲ 16.6pp
$166Rob Reiner – “The Bear”9¢▼ 16.6pp
$1.4k▾Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
$819Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”56¢▲ 11.0pp
$161Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”10¢▼ 32.8pp
$929▾Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)
$194The Oscars35¢▲ 32.9pp
$496The Tonys2¢▼ 47.5pp
$106Will Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?5¢▼ 39.8pp
$5.1k▾Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$1.9kJuly 1013¢▼ 77.0pp
$1.6kJuly 916¢▼ 52.5pp
$182Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 10?100¢▲ 18.0pp
$2.7k▾Big Brother Season 28 Winner
$175Melody Morris7¢▲ 2.9pp
$1.8kBarrett Pfeiffer6¢▼ 15.0pp
$931▾Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place
$443Haley Thogmartin3¢▼ 22.6pp
$488Barrett Pfeiffer11¢▼ 15.5pp
Polymarket$82.7kUS bank failure by July 31?100¢▲ 81.5pp
Kalshi$29.5k▾Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final
$7kCelsius24¢▲ 6.0pp
$1.7kRocket Mortgage14¢▼ 74.0pp
Kalshi$23.5k▾Coinbase total trading volume in Q2
$4.7kAbove $200 billion34¢▲ 6.0pp
$7.4kAbove $190 billion34¢▼ 33.0pp
Kalshi$9.5k▾How high will the IBOVESPA get in July 2026?
$2.9kAt least R$176,00099¢▲ 40.0pp
$177At least R$177,00099¢▲ 38.0pp
Kalshi$8k▾Fear & Greed Index on Jul 10, 2026?
$3.6kNeutral99¢▲ 30.0pp
$4.3kFear1¢▼ 28.0pp
Kalshi$5.9kWho will IPO before 2027? — Shein50¢▲ 27.0pp
Kalshi$5.1k▾Lowe's customer transactions in Q2
$2.8kAbove 220 million96¢▲ 7.0pp
$105Above 228 million17¢▼ 29.0pp
Kalshi$5.1k▾Get-in price of the World Cup Final?
$1.2kAbove $700053¢▲ 3.0pp
$324Above $800017¢▼ 26.0pp
Kalshi$2.1k▾Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027
$109Above 82584¢▲ 34.0pp
$126Above 8459¢▼ 40.0pp
Kalshi$1.4k▾Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final - Mercedes-Benz Stadium
$507Above $200035¢▼ 48.0pp
$373Above $225032¢▼ 22.0pp
$12.8kUS bank failure by December 31, 2026?100¢▲ 34.0pp
$936▾Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?
$141$2.7B46¢▼ 20.0pp
$795$2.5B74¢▼ 15.0pp
$7.3k▾United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?
$50085%-86%21¢▲ 16.6pp
$5.8k83%-84%19¢▼ 30.0pp
$2k▾Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?
$1.2k86%-89%59¢▲ 19.2pp
$838<86%33¢▼ 11.5pp
$377Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?47¢▲ 14.0pp
$363Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?100¢▲ 48.0pp
$343▾Union Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio?
$11460%-61%14¢▼ 34.5pp
$114<58%26¢▼ 23.5pp
$269▾Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth?
$15115%-17.5%43¢▼ 6.0pp
$11812.5%-15%46¢▼ 3.0pp
$2.1kWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?26¢▲ 17.5pp
$937Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?31¢▼ 17.0pp
$1.9kSHEIN IPO before 2027?61¢▲ 30.9pp
$933▾JIO Platforms IPO by...?
$291September 3051¢▲ 3.5pp
$152August 3130¢▼ 19.0pp
Opinion$86.1kHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — 0 (0 bps)60¢▼ 11.4pp
Kalshi$1.6kWill Apple announce a foldable phone by Dec 31, 2026? — Before 202782¢▼ 6.0pp
$5.4kFDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?100¢▲ 35.0pp
$396FDA approves Elevar Therapeutics' Rivoceranib + camrelizumab?5¢▼ 35.5pp
Polymarket$4kIran successfully targets shipping by...?
$2.7kJuly 129¢▼ 15.5pp
$1.3kJuly 1523¢▼ 15.0pp
Kalshi$138Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $25/MTok in 2026?19¢▼ 22.0pp
Polymarket$21.3k▾Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO
$1.3k>45M14¢▼ 37.5pp
$6.3k>30M44¢▼ 12.0pp
$1.6kWill Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?33¢▲ 4.5pp
$278Will Perpl launch a token by June 30, 2027?53¢▲ 22.0pp
Kalshi$121.7k▾Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
$86.4kTroy Jackson63¢▲ 16.0pp
$35.4kJordan Wood2¢▼ 20.0pp
Kalshi$26.3k▾MI-07 Democratic nominee?
$10.7kBridget Brink63¢▲ 5.0pp
$15.6kWilliam Lawrence33¢▼ 11.0pp
Polymarket$8.7kWill the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?88¢▼ 1.8pp
Kalshi$5.8kWill Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?54¢▼ 1.0pp
Kalshi$3.5kWill Graham Platner endorse a specific person in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Aug 1, 2026?22¢▼ 17.0pp
Kalshi$2.8kWill James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?21¢▼ 17.0pp
Kalshi$1.7kWill Elizabeth Lee be the Democratic nominee for AZ-05?87¢▼ 3.0pp
Polymarket$1.2k▾James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
$743Fishback <10%65¢▲ 21.0pp
$299Fishback 15–20%12¢▼ 29.5pp
Kalshi$500Will Cory Mills be the Republican nominee for FL-07?43¢▼ 19.0pp
$27.5kTrump signs housing bill by end of July?2¢▼ 29.6pp
$9.4kWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?95¢▲ 11.6pp
$9.4k▾AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$7.5kElizabeth Lee90¢▲ 23.0pp
$1.9kBrian Hualde1¢▼ 1.6pp
$2kWill Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?77¢▲ 24.5pp
$104Will Kimberly Yee be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?63¢▲ 21.5pp
$5.9kWill Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?95¢▲ 18.5pp
$828Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?36¢▼ 7.0pp
$361Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?59¢▲ 16.5pp
$138Will Devin Pooré advance to the general election for WA-04?14¢▼ 38.5pp
$5kWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?44¢▼ 2.5pp
$448Will Georgia have the closest Senate race in 2026?3¢▼ 19.6pp
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