event100 outcomes
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold·Politics·ends Dec 31, 9999
As of 20:08 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, “Other” leads “Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?” on Manifold at 15%, followed by “Jeff Bezos” at 11% and “Elon Musk” at 11%, out of 100 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

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https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400 This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.
politics-defaulttechnology-defaultdwarkesh-patel