Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
As of 02:59 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 65% (-7pp in 24h) and “October 31” at 7% (+3pp in 24h). The event has $336 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket.
vol cum
$2.1k
vol 24h
$336
outcomes
2
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIQwenTechAlibabaAI ReleasesRecurring
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
65¢
▼ 7.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$850
vol 24h
$30
spread
0.46
ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Flash or Qwen3.8-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Flash, Qwen3.8-Plus, or Qwen3.9-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.