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event3 outcomes

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Nov 1, 2026

As of 00:17 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 34% (+9pp in 24h), “August 31” at 0% and “September 30” at 0%. The event has $525 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Predict.

vol cum
$11.6k
vol 24h
$525
outcomes
3
ends
Nov 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIQwenTechAlibabaAI ReleasesRecurring
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
China
34¢
▲ 8.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$8.5k
vol 24h
$525
spread
0.05
ends
Nov 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Aug 14, 2026opencloses · Nov 1, 2026
October 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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