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event7 outcomes

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 05:01 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 84% (+23pp in 24h), “October 31” at 24% (+7pp in 24h) and “August 31” at 0%. The event has $259 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$11.6k
vol 24h
$259
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
AIQwenTechAlibabaAI ReleasesRecurring
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
84¢
▲ 22.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$255
spread
0.12
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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