Which products will reach Version 10?
As of 11:49 UTC on 28 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Which products will reach Version 10?” on Manifold are “Apple’s Apple Watch” at 100%, “Google’s Pixel” at 100% and “Lucasfilm’s Star Wars” at 91%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
There are two critical portions to this Resolving YES: The company must still be releasing products under the same name as was used when this question was written. If Playstation has a rebrand, and is no longer the Playstation and abandons the number sequencing, this Resolves NO. The tenth version of the product must have something denoting the number 10 associated with it. We’ll be a bit liberal here so X would count (as the roman numeral), as would any names with “deca-“, the greek derivation of 10. Answers will Resolve YES once a product is in the hands of consumers. Market will stay open until answers are clearly a NO; be it by company bankruptcy, product discontinuation, the tenth product being named something completely different…etc. Also, the product name must remain the same, but the company name can change. So if Nothing is acquired, and the new company keeps releasing the Phone 5, and Phone 6, that will carry on until #10. If Meta rebrands to “Verse” and keeps releasing the Quest and incrementing the number, this will remain open. The products are the key here, not the company.
