Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Polymarket·World·ends Jun 30, 2027
As of 01:20 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 15 markets in “Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?” on Polymarket are “Together” at 72% (+4pp in 24h), “Yashar” at 70% (+6pp in 24h) and “Yisrael Beiteinu” at 66% (+24pp in 24h). The event has $13.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Gemini and Limitless.
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
