pdatanews

US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?

“Above 0.0%” 94%, “Above 0.5%” 92% and “Above 1.0%” 90% on Kalshi as of 05:13 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?”. The event has $737 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

Kalshi·Economy·ends Apr 29, 2027
event9 outcomes
vol cum
$65.8k
vol 24h
$737
outcomes
9
ends
Apr 29, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Above 0.0%
rank #1
United States
94¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$138
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.06
ends
Apr 29, 2027

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jul 28, 2026opencloses · Apr 29, 2027
Above 0.0% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
≥4.0%17¢▲ 1.5pp3.0% to 3.5%19¢▼ 0.5pp2.0% to 2.5%18¢▲ 2.0pp
+4 others
$13 24h · 7 markets
Kalshikalshi
US real GDP growth in 2026?
1.6% to 2.0%9¢· 0.0pp2.1% to 2.5%80¢▲ 4.9pp2.6% to 3.0%15¢▲ 10.0pp
+11 others
$86 24h · 14 markets
Geminigemini
US GDP Growth in 2026?
2.1 to 2.580¢· 0.0pp3.6 to 4.044¢2.6 to 3.016¢· 0.0pp
+7 others
$556 24h · 10 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0%2¢· 0.0pp<0.5%0¢· 0.0pp1.0–1.5%0¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$45 24h · 6 markets
Kalshikalshi
US real GDP growth in 2036?
1.6% to 2.0%18¢· 0.0pp2.1% to 2.5%12¢· 0.0pp0.0% or Below7¢· 0.0pp
+11 others
$0 24h · 14 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)29¢▼ 1.5ppOverheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)71¢▲ 0.8ppSlack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)0¢· 0.0pp
+1 others
$1.4k 24h · 4 markets
opentrade on Kalshi ↗