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How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 02:26 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “0” leads “How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?” on Polymarket at 77% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “1” at 22% (+4pp in 24h) and “2” at 4%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has $114 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$5k
vol 24h
$114
outcomes
7
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
TrumpMidtermsPoliticsElectionsMidterm MOVUS ElectionUnited StatesTennessee House
marketselected outcome
0
rank #1
United States
77¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$94
spread
0.04
ends
Nov 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Tennessee in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Tennessee US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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opened · Oct 12, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
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