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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Polymarket·World·ends Oct 28, 2026

As of 01:07 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, “Gadi Eizenkot” leads “Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?” on Polymarket at 64% (+14pp in 24h), followed by “Other” at 50% and “Person 1” at 50%, out of 100 outcomes. The event has $8.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Gemini and Limitless.

vol cum
$8.6k
vol 24h
$8.7k
outcomes
100
ends
Oct 28, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 100
WorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsGeopoliticsMiddle EastMain ElectionIsrael Election
marketselected outcome
Gadi Eizenkot
rank #1
64¢
▲ 13.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$1.7k
spread
0.02
ends
Oct 28, 2026

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 19, 2026opencloses · Oct 28, 2026
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