What is the current probability for "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?": Before Jul 1, 2027 70%, Before Jan 1, 2027 55%, Before Oct 1, 2026 23% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.