Question 1

What is the current probability for "Fed funds rate at end of 2027"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Fed funds rate at end of 2027" are Above 1.50% 93%, Above 1.75% 90%, Above 2.25% 86% — 2 of 21 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/8/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-28JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

similar markets