Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Feb 1, 2027
As of 03:22 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “November 23–November 29” leads “When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?” on Polymarket at 19% (-28pp in 24h), followed by “No release by January 31” at 16% (-32pp in 24h) and “November 30–December 6” at 15% (-32pp in 24h), out of 16 outcomes. The event has $3.4k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
vol cum
$3.4k
vol 24h
$3.4k
outcomes
16
ends
Feb 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 16
AIgptTechAstraOpenAIAI ReleasesGPT Releases
marketselected outcome
November 23–November 29
rank #1
19¢
▼ 28.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$167
vol 24h
$177
spread
0.03
ends
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
