Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
As of 21:34 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 84%, “December 15” at 79% (-1pp in 24h) and “November 30” at 76% (+6pp in 24h). The event has $6.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?” on Predict, an event with 5 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Predict, Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
vol cum
$366.8k
vol 24h
$6.2k
outcomes
8
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
AIgptTechAstraOpenAIAI ReleasesGPT Releases
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
84¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$86.6k
vol 24h
$9
spread
0.02
ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
