As of 14:01 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?” on Predict are “August 31” at 0%, “August 14” at 0% and “August 21” at 0%. The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Manifold.
vol cum
$11.7k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
3
ends
Sep 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
TechAI
marketselected outcome
August 31
rank #1 · resolved: no
0¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$7.9k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Sep 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
timeline
opened · Aug 10, 2026closedresolved · Oct 18, 2026
