p|datav0.1news178
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews178MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews178MapMonitor
theme
markets·Science and Technology·Part of: AI Model Odds →
opentrade on Polymarket ↗
event16 outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Aug 31, 2026
vol cum
$309k
vol 24h
$36k
outcomes
16
ends
Aug 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 16
AITechGeminigoogleAI Releases
marketselected outcome
August 31
rank #1
84¢
▼ 1.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$8.8k
vol 24h
$6.3k
spread
0.01
ends
Aug 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026
August 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by July 3197¢▲ 2.7ppJuly 300¢▼ 0.8ppJuly 311¢▲ 1.0pp
+29 others
$19k 24h · 32 markets
Kalshikalshi
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 20264¢▼ 5.0ppBefore Aug 31, 202686¢▲ 3.0ppBefore Aug 16, 202664¢▼ 6.0pp
+5 others
$5.3k 24h · 8 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Gemini 3 (Google) release (No Double Speak Version)
Before 2025-12-0183¢· 0.0ppBefore 2025-12-1580¢· 0.0ppBefore 2026-01-0177¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1495+31¢▼ 1.0pp1480+87¢▼ 3.2pp1490+65¢▲ 0.7pp
+2 others
$60 24h · 5 markets
Kalshikalshi
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
$7/MTok or below13¢· 0.0pp$8/MTok or below13¢· 0.0pp$6/MTok or below3¢· 0.0pp
+1 others
$100 24h · 4 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?
yes72¢▲ 5.6pp
M1.4k 24h · 1 market
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026