Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 06:27 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 26 markets in “Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 19% (+1pp in 24h), “November 30” at 7% and “October 31” at 2%. The event has $554 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Predict, Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
vol cum
$1.7M
vol 24h
$554
outcomes
26
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 26
AITechGeminigoogleAI ReleasesGemini Pro
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
19¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$8.6k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.12
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
