Question 1

What is the current probability for "How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?": At least 10 20%, At least 12 15%, At least 14 14% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Nov 1, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBILLSSIGNED-26OCT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.