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Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 15:13 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?” at 8%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket, Predict and Limitless.

8%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$25.2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 8¢
No 92¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

BidenPoliticsTrumpvoter fraud
timeline
opened · Feb 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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