Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Mar 1, 2027
As of 02:59 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “400k to 425k” leads “How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?” on Polymarket at 25% (-2pp in 24h), followed by “475k to 500k” at 23% (+6pp in 24h) and “525k to 550k” at 19% (+16pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $2.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
vol cum
$2.5k
vol 24h
$2.2k
outcomes
9
ends
Mar 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
KPIsTechTeslaBig TechBusinessElon MuskRecurring
marketselected outcome
400k to 425k
rank #1
25¢
▼ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$344
vol 24h
$166
spread
0.15
ends
Mar 1, 2027
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
