Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
As of 13:13 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” at 18% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $112.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” on Limitless, priced at 18%. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Limitless, Manifold and Polymarket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
