Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

·Politics

United StatesIran

13%

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$38.3M

vol 24h

$114.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.