marketsingle market
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Polymarket·Politics
Iran
As of 02:46 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Polymarket prices “Iran Nuke before 2027?” at 3%. The market has $8.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket and Manifold.

3%
▼ 0.3pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.5M
vol 24h
$8.6k
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NuclearPoliticsWorldGeopoliticsIranMiddle East
timeline
opened · Nov 13, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027