marketsingle market
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Iran

5%
▼ 1.1pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.3M
vol 24h
$2.5k
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NuclearPoliticsWorldGeopoliticsIranMiddle East
timeline
opened · Nov 13, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027