Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?

Manifold·World

Iran

As of 23:15 UTC on 21 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?” at 45%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

45%

vol cum

M7.5k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2040

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.