Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Manifold·World

Iran

As of 20:11 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?” at 29%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

29%

vol cum

M16.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 27, 2030

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.