Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

Iran

As of 20:24 UTC on 12 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?” at 29%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

29%

vol cum

M11k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2030

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.