Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

·Politics

Iran

10%

▼ 0.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$390k

vol 24h

$5.9k

spread

0.02

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.