Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
As of 20:44 UTC on 11 Nov 2026, “Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)” leads “Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)” on Manifold at 16% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “JD Vance (Vice President)” at 14% (-7pp in 24h) and “Other” at 11% (-2pp in 24h), out of 34 outcomes. The event has M$6.5k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Limitless, Kalshi, Gemini and Polymarket.
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second. Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market. Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions. See also: @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
