Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
As of 07:24 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Other” leads “Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?” on Manifold at 32%, followed by “JD Vance (Vice President)” at 19% and “AOC (NY Representative)” at 12% (+1pp in 24h), out of 21 outcomes. The event has M$44 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Manifold, Limitless, Gemini, Predict and Kalshi.
Resolves 100% to the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College in 2028, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment. This market may resolve prior to official certification of the electoral college votes if the election has been called by all major decision desks. Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions. See also: @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-be-the-two-major-party-nom @/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
