2028 US Presidential Election Odds
—events
Live odds for the 2028 US presidential election — the Democratic and Republican nominations and the general election — aggregated across every platform that prices them.
consensus
2028 Democratic presidential nominee⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
the model race
each platform’s standings on the marquee question
PolymarketAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff16%
Gavin Newsom15%
Kamala Harris10%
Josh Shapiro6%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Mark Kelly3%
Andy Beshear2%
KalshiJon Ossoff17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom13%
Kamala Harris8%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Josh Shapiro5%
Mark Kelly4%
Andy Beshear3%
Jon Ossoff18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Gavin Newsom14%
Other9%
Kamala Harris8%
Pete Buttigieg4%
Raphael Warnock3%
Josh Shapiro3%