2028 US Presidential Election Odds
139events
Live odds for the 2028 US presidential election — the Democratic and Republican nominations and the general election — aggregated across every platform that prices them.
consensus
2028 Democratic presidential nominee · platforms disagree by 4pp⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
the model race
each platform’s standings on the marquee question
PolymarketJon Ossoff28%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Josh Shapiro5%
Kamala Harris4%
Pete Buttigieg4%
Andy Beshear4%
Raphael Warnock2%
KalshiJon Ossoff24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
Gavin Newsom13%
Andy Beshear5%
Josh Shapiro4%
Kamala Harris4%
Pete Buttigieg4%
James Talarico4%
Jon Ossoff24%
Gavin Newsom13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
Kamala Harris6%
Pete Buttigieg6%
Other5%
Josh Shapiro5%
James Talarico4%
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
2Dkalshi·Jon Ossoff
polymarket·Robert F. Kennedy Jr.2Rkalshi·J.D. Vance2Ukalshi·Jon Ossoff
polymarket·Jon Ossoff
polymarket·Jon Ossoff2Pkalshi·Democratic by 9.0% or more
manifold·Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2Pkalshi·Democratic partyRSkalshi·Mississippi
polymarket·Ron DeSantis
polymarket·Democratic
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
kalshi·Jon Ossoff24¢
▲ 10.0pp
$7.5M
vol 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
polymarket·Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49¢
$4.8M
vol 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee
kalshi·J.D. Vance30¢
▼ 5.0pp
$4M
vol 24h
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
kalshi·Jon Ossoff19¢
▲ 8.0pp
$3.9M
vol 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
polymarket·Jon Ossoff18¢
▲ 4.5pp
$3.7M
vol 24h
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
polymarket·Jon Ossoff28¢
▲ 10.6pp
$2.9M
vol 24h
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
kalshi·Democratic by 9.0% or more69¢
▲ 41.0pp
$132.9k
vol 24h
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14¢
▼ 5.8pp
M108.8k
vol 24h
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
kalshi·Democratic party67¢
▲ 5.0pp
$83.7k
vol 24h
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
kalshi·Mississippi90¢
▲ 82.0pp
$60.5k
vol 24h
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
polymarket·Ron DeSantis41¢
▲ 31.9pp
$55.7k
vol 24h
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
polymarket·Democratic68¢
· 0.0pp
$32.1k
vol 24h
kalshiReddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Mississippi
90¢▲ 82.0pp
polymarketDeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↑ 8%
100¢▲ 50.0pp
polymarketHarris's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
↓ 4%
100¢▲ 50.0pp
kalshiBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
Florida
97¢▲ 44.0pp