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event16 outcomes
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
16
ends
Apr 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 16
marketselected outcome
Texas
rank #1
United States
34¢
▲ 34.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$500
vol 24h
$500
spread
0.40
ends
Apr 3, 2027
If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 23, 2026opencloses · Apr 3, 2027
Texas · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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