event8 outcomes

Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Mar 15, 2027

As of 10:32 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?” on Kalshi are “Trump +15 or more” at 91%, “Trump +20 or more” at 47% (+47pp in 24h) and “Trump +10 or more” at 0%. The event has $1.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Opinion.

vol cum

$1.5k

vol 24h

$1.5k

outcomes

ends

Mar 15, 2027

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showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Trump +15 or more

rank #1

United States

91¢

▲ 91.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$43

vol 24h

$43

spread

0.01

ends

Mar 15, 2027

If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 19, 2026opencloses · Mar 15, 2027

Trump +15 or more · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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