US Elections

Where the markets are moving on US elections — primaries, the presidency, House and Senate control.

▾USA Elections$62.2M

$58.2M▾Others(145 events)

$26.1M▾Los Angeles Mayor winner?

$6.9MNithya Raman100¢▲ 62.8pp

$19.2MKaren Bass0¢▼ 62.7pp

$22.2M▾Mississippi Senate winner?

$10.5MScott Colom97¢▲ 89.3pp

$11.7MCindy Hyde-Smith3¢▼ 89.1pp

$1.9M▾How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

$1.2MBelow 4590¢▲ 67.0pp

$779.3k459¢▼ 55.0pp

$1.1M▾How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

$594.3k5689¢▲ 74.0pp

$539.2k5510¢▼ 65.4pp

$1M▾NV-02 House winner?

$272.3kTeresa Benitez-Thompson100¢▲ 29.8pp

$754.9kDavid Flippo1¢▼ 29.5pp

$960.3k▾Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$610.1kNithya Raman100¢▲ 58.5pp

$350.3kKaren Bass0¢▼ 57.1pp

$763.1k▾AZ-02 House winner?

$369.2kEli Crane74¢▲ 50.0pp

$393.9kJonathan Nez27¢▼ 50.0pp

$509.1k▾TN-09 House winner?

$203kBrent Taylor99¢▲ 79.1pp

$306.1kJustin J. Pearson1¢▼ 83.1pp

$465.6k▾Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

$253.6k4494¢▲ 72.3pp

$212k455¢▼ 57.8pp

$376.7k▾NC-05 House winner?

$167.4kChuck Hubbard92¢▲ 77.2pp

$209.2kVirginia Foxx8¢▼ 78.2pp

$375.2k▾CO-03 House winner?

$115kJeff Hurd97¢▲ 76.9pp

$260.3kDwayne Romero4¢▼ 79.3pp

see all (134 more)↓

$40.9k▾Texas House(3 events)

$20.7k▾TX-27 House Election Winner

$12.2kMichael Cloud (R)100¢▲ 39.6pp

$8.5kTanya Lloyd (D)0¢▼ 39.6pp

$19.5k▾TX-32 House Election Winner

$9.8kJace Yarbrough (R)100¢▲ 64.0pp

$9.8kDan Barrios (D)0¢▼ 60.1pp

$700Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?100¢▲ 52.0pp

$3.8M▾Competitive Races(7 events)

$3.4M▾Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$1.5MScott Colom (D)98¢▲ 94.4pp

$1.9MCindy Hyde-Smith (R)2¢▼ 94.1pp

$178.4k▾AZ-02 House Election Winner

$78.9kEli Crane (R)72¢▲ 43.5pp

$99.6kJonathan Nez (D)29¢▼ 43.0pp

$89.4k▾CO-03 House Election Winner

$31.7kJeff Hurd (R)97¢▲ 83.8pp

$57.7kDwayne Romero (D)3¢▼ 83.5pp

$45.4k▾NC-05 House Election Winner

$26.2kChuck Hubbard (D)92¢▲ 74.5pp

$19.2kVirginia Foxx (R)8¢▼ 75.0pp

$44.3k▾MI-04 House Election Winner

$18.2kSean McCann (D)100¢▲ 41.0pp

$26.1kBill Huizenga (R)0¢▼ 41.0pp

$28.5k▾TN-04 House Election Winner

$15.5kVictoria Broderick (D)95¢▲ 92.5pp

$13kScott DesJarlais (R)4¢▼ 93.5pp

$11.3k▾CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

$7kEric Jones93¢▲ 70.5pp

$4.3kMike Thompson6¢▼ 68.5pp

$71.2k▾Tennessee House(2 events)

$61.7k▾TN-09 House Election Winner

$32.9kBrent Taylor (R)100¢▲ 58.0pp

$28.8kJustin Pearson (D)0¢▼ 57.9pp

$9.5k▾TN-05 House Election Winner

$5.6kCharlie Hatcher (R)100¢▲ 47.0pp

$3.9kChaz Molder (D)0¢▼ 48.4pp

$39.1k▾Election Night(5 events)

$18.2k▾AP calls the House by...?

$12.1kNovember 4, 12:59 AM0¢▼ 79.0pp

$6.1kNovember 3, 11:59 PM0¢▼ 70.5pp

$7.6kWill Republicans win white voters in the midterms?12¢▼ 81.8pp

$7.2kWill AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?100¢▲ 47.5pp

$4.1k▾Which Senate races will be within 5%?

$2.2kAlaska98¢▲ 66.1pp

$1.9kNebraska1¢▼ 65.5pp

$2kWill the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?100¢▲ 50.5pp

$3.4k▾Turnout(3 events)

$1.4kWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?97¢▲ 50.0pp

$1kWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?97¢▲ 59.9pp

$944Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?88¢▲ 69.5pp