US Elections

Where the markets are moving on US elections — primaries, the presidency, House and Senate control.

▾USA Elections$83.5k

$76.5k▾Others(59 events)

$7.8k▾Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

$700At least 56%82¢▲ 82.0pp

$772At least 58%53¢▼ 18.0pp

see all (4 more)↓

$4.8k▾Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent

$1.2kAt least 86%61¢▲ 61.0pp

$3.6kAt least 88%27¢▲ 27.0pp

$3.7k▾Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

$2.6kAt least 48%94¢▲ 94.0pp

$400At least 50%79¢▲ 79.0pp

see all (1 more)↓

$3.4k▾Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

$3.2kAt least 52%51¢▲ 51.0pp

$210At least 54%50¢▲ 50.0pp

see all (55 more)↓

$872▾United States(3 events)

$552Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?30¢▼ 1.0pp

$190Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?4¢▲ 0.0pp

$130Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?3¢▼ 1.7pp

$5.5k▾turnout(8 events)

$1.1k▾South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout

$732375K-400K28¢▲ 15.5pp

$357350K-375K47¢▼ 6.5pp

$1.1kWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?24¢▼ 15.5pp

$887▾Alabama Senate Election: Turnout

$4141.4M-1.5M36¢▲ 18.5pp

$4721.5M-1.6M32¢▼ 4.0pp

$851▾Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

$3111.3M-1.4M37¢▲ 8.6pp

$5401.4M-1.5M34¢▼ 17.0pp

$621Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?20¢▼ 14.0pp

$606Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?29¢▼ 23.0pp

$336Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?42¢▼ 4.0pp

$100Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?16¢▼ 2.0pp

$540▾Tossup House Races(2 events)

$354Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?29¢▲ 5.5pp

$186Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?73¢▲ 0.0pp