US Elections

Where the markets are moving on US elections — primaries, the presidency, House and Senate control.

▾USA Elections$23.5k

$10.7kWill James Fishback receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?18¢▲ 4.0pp

$4.3kWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?51¢▲ 1.0pp

$2.9kBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?57¢▲ 11.0pp

$1.6kMamdani NYC primary endorsements combo

$897Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier wins78¢▲ 74.0pp

$733Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier loses17¢▼ 7.0pp

$1.9kWill Oliver Gilbert be the Democratic nominee for FL-24?60¢▲ 18.0pp

$552Will Chris Burnett be the Republican nominee for MD-06?28¢▼ 46.0pp

$539Will Spencer Pratt concede defeat in the the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jul 1, 2026?32¢▲ 8.0pp

$334Who will win the 2026 St. Petersburg, Florida mayoral election? — Charlie Crist53¢▼ 39.0pp

$332Who will win the Maine State Senate? — Republican party18¢▼ 15.0pp

$162Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?88¢▲ 16.0pp

$114Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?83¢▲ 3.5pp