As of 03:31 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “AP calls the House by...?” on Polymarket are “November 30, 11:59 PM” at 98% (+48pp in 24h), “November 15, 11:59 PM” at 97% (+47pp in 24h) and “November 6, 11:59 PM” at 94% (+45pp in 24h). The event has $3.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
vol cum
$3.2k
vol 24h
$3.2k
outcomes
6
ends
Jan 4, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6
midtermPoliticsUS Electionhouse of representatives
marketselected outcome
November 30, 11:59 PM
rank #1
United States
N
98¢
▲ 48.3pp
24h change
vol cum
$40
vol 24h
$85
spread
0.03
ends
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
Control of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count.
Under condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market.
Under condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period.
The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.