What is the current probability for "Los Angeles Mayoral Election"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Los Angeles Mayoral Election": Karen Bass 62%, Nithya Raman 36%, Rick Caruso 0% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/57111. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event12 outcomes

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

·Politics·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$13.8M

vol 24h

$96.3k

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA MayormayorPoliticsUS ElectionElectionsLos Angeles

marketselected outcome

Karen Bass

rank #1

United States

62¢

▼ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$978.2k

vol 24h

$31.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 31, 2026

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

timeline

opened · Oct 9, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

Karen Bass · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history