2028 popular vote margin of victory?

Kalshi·Elections·ends May 6, 2029

As of 05:02 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, “Democratic by 9.0% or more” leads “2028 popular vote margin of victory?” on Kalshi at 24%, followed by “Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%” at 13% (+1pp in 24h) and “Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%” at 8% (-3pp in 24h), out of 20 outcomes. The event has $7.4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Gemini and Polymarket.