pdatanews193
event14 outcomes

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Kalshi·Politics·ends May 6, 2029

As of 20:32 UTC on 2 Oct 2026, “Democratic by 91 to 130” leads “2028 Electoral College margin of victory?” on Kalshi at 14%, followed by “Democratic by 61 to 90” at 12% and “Democratic by 1 to 10” at 11%, out of 14 outcomes. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Kalshi, Gemini, Manifold, Predict, Limitless and Polymarket.

vol cum
$7k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
14
ends
May 6, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 14
marketselected outcome
Democratic by 91 to 130
rank #1
United States
14¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
May 6, 2029

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · May 15, 2026opencloses · May 6, 2029
Democratic by 91 to 130 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata