2028 US Presidential Election winner?
As of 00:54 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, “JD Vance” leads “2028 US Presidential Election winner?” on Manifold at 20%, followed by “Other” at 15% and “Jon Ossoff” at 10% (+1pp in 24h), out of 45 outcomes. The event has M$6.7k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Presidential Election Winner 2028” on Polymarket, an event with 128 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket and Manifold.
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body. If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to "No." Request your candidate in comments.
