Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
As of 14:39 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Other” leads “Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?” on Manifold at 26%, followed by “JD Vance” at 20% (-1pp in 24h) and “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” at 10% (+2pp in 24h), out of 61 outcomes. The event has M$453 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election. Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be. I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held. If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
