Fed Rate Decision Odds
73events
Live odds on the Federal Reserve's next rate decision and how many cuts markets expect in 2026, priced across multiple prediction-market platforms.
consensus
Fed decision at the July 2026 meeting⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Fed Decision in July?
polymarket·No change75¢
▼ 3.0pp
$1.3M
vol 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
polymarket·0 (0 bps)80¢
▼ 1.2pp
$310.3k
vol 24h
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
kalshi·Fed maintains rate77¢
▼ 2.0pp
$169k
vol 24h
Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket60¢
▼ 1.5pp
$97.8k
vol 24h
Fed Decision in September?
polymarket·No change52¢
▲ 2.0pp
$60.4k
vol 24h
Next Fed rate hike?
kalshi·Before 202880¢
· 0.0pp
$16.1k
vol 24h
Fed rate hike by...?
polymarket·October Meeting67¢
▲ 15.0pp
$12.7k
vol 24h
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
kalshi·Exactly 0 cuts78¢
▼ 0.9pp
$11.5k
vol 24h
Fed Decision in October?
polymarket·No change60¢
· 0.0pp
$10.5k
vol 24h
Fed rate hike in 2026?
predict·Fed rate hike in 2026?56¢
▼ 2.4pp
$6.2k
vol 24h
FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4
kalshi·Above 16.2 million98¢
▼ 1.0pp
$5.8k
vol 24h
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
polymarket· ↑ 4.25%30¢
▼ 0.9pp
$3.6k
vol 24h