Fed Rate Decision Odds
116events
Live odds on the Federal Reserve's next rate decision and how many cuts markets expect in 2026, priced across multiple prediction-market platforms.
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Fed Decision in December?
polymarket·25 bps increase78¢
▲ 2.0pp
$923.2k
vol 24h
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
kalshi·Hike 25bps80¢
▲ 4.0pp
$155.1k
vol 24h
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
kalshi·Above 2.75%99¢
· 0.0pp
$78.5k
vol 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
polymarket·0 (0 bps)98¢
▲ 1.1pp
$46.4k
vol 24h
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket78¢
▲ 3.0pp
$42.1k
vol 24h
Fed Decision in December?
predict·25 bps increase79¢
▲ 4.5pp
$40.7k
vol 24h
Fed Decision in January?
polymarket·No change78¢
▲ 5.0pp
$26.2k
vol 24h
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
opinion·6 (150 bps)91¢
· 0.0pp
$19k
vol 24h
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
kalshi·Above 1.75%99¢
· 0.0pp
$10.4k
vol 24h
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
polymarket·Below 4.65%83¢
▲ 3.5pp
$9.9k
vol 24h
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
kalshi·Fed maintains rate79¢
▲ 8.0pp
$8.5k
vol 24h
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
polymarket·5.3%26¢
▼ 3.0pp
$7.5k
vol 24h
kalshiWhich companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Neros Technologies
76¢▲ 63.0pp
polymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
Below 5.20%
64¢▲ 27.0pp
polymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
5.06%
40¢▼ 18.0pp
kalshiFed decision in Oct 2027?
Fed maintains rate
83¢▼ 14.0pp