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event5 outcomes

Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Dec 10, 2026

As of 02:55 UTC on 30 Oct 2026, “25 bps increase” leads “Fed Decision in December?” on Polymarket at 72% (-7pp in 24h), followed by “No change” at 27% (+8pp in 24h) and “50+ bps increase” at 2%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has $2M in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Fed Decision in December?” on Predict, an event with 5 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Predict, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.

vol cum
$8.9M
vol 24h
$2M
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 10, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
FedfomcTrumpEconomyFed RatesKevin WarshGlobal RatesEconomic Policy
marketselected outcome
25 bps increase
rank #1
United States
72¢
▼ 7.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2M
vol 24h
$345.2k
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 9, 2026

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

timeline
opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Dec 9, 2026
25 bps increase · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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