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event5 outcomes

Fed Decision in March?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Mar 18, 2027

As of 04:53 UTC on 28 Oct 2026, “25 bps increase” leads “Fed Decision in March?” on Polymarket at 54% (+28pp in 24h), followed by “No change” at 32% (+2pp in 24h) and “50+ bps increase” at 8% (-15pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $1.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 16 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$1.3k
vol 24h
$1.3k
outcomes
5
ends
Mar 18, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
FedfomcTrumpEconomyFed RatesRecurringKevin WarshGlobal Rates
marketselected outcome
25 bps increase
rank #1
United States
54¢
▲ 28.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$219
vol 24h
$219
spread
0.01
ends
Mar 18, 2027

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 16-17, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

timeline
opened · Oct 27, 2026opencloses · Mar 18, 2027
25 bps increase · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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