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event5 outcomes

Fed Decision in December?

Predict·Economy·ends Dec 9, 2026

As of 11:09 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, “25 bps increase” leads “Fed Decision in December?” on Predict at 71% (-3pp in 24h), followed by “25 bps decrease” at 50% and “50+ bps decrease” at 25%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has $258 in Predict-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Fed decision in December?” on Gemini, an event with 5 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Gemini, Kalshi, Predict, Polymarket and Limitless.

vol cum
$7.9k
vol 24h
$258
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 9, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
EconomyFed
marketselected outcome
25 bps increase
rank #1
United States
71¢
▼ 3.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.4k
vol 24h
$258
spread
0.11
ends
Dec 9, 2026

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

timeline
opened · Aug 20, 2026opencloses · Dec 9, 2026
25 bps increase · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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