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event5 outcomes

Fed Decision in January?

Predict·Economy·ends Jan 27, 2027

As of 22:05 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, “No change” leads “Fed Decision in January?” on Predict at 65%, followed by “25 bps decrease” at 50% and “50+ bps increase” at 50%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has $11 in Predict-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Fed Decision in January?” on Polymarket, an event with 5 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Limitless.

vol cum
$11.3k
vol 24h
$11
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 27, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
Economy
marketselected outcome
No change
rank #1
United States
65¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$84
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 27, 2027

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

timeline
opened · Aug 20, 2026opencloses · Jan 27, 2027
No change · prices over time
−24h
now
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no volume history

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