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Economy

updated 22m ago

Where the markets are moving on the Fed, rates, recession risk and the wider economy.

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Kalshi$7kElon Musk net worth on June 30 (Bloomberg)
$1.4kAbove $1.10 trillion81¢▲ 1.0pp
$5.6kAbove $1.20 trillion42¢▼ 15.0pp
Kalshi$6.8kInflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
$2.1kAbove 3.8%59¢▲ 12.0pp
$2.3kAbove 3.9%21¢▼ 3.0pp
Kalshi$716Will 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.20%?64¢▲ 19.0pp
Kalshi$480Will US new home sales for May 2026 be above 680,000?31¢▼ 10.0pp
Kalshi$823South Korea exports YoY for June
$235Above 53.0%53¢▼ 24.0pp
$102Above 52.0%63¢▼ 21.0pp
Kalshi$431CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? — Exactly 3.9%25¢▲ 2.0pp
Kalshi$329Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in June 2026?23¢▲ 15.0pp
Kalshi$215Will inflation in Brazil be above 5.10% in Jun 2026?13¢▼ 15.0pp
Limitless$130US recession by end of 2026?13¢▲ 0.0pp
Limitless$114What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026? — ↓ 10,00052¢▲ 19.1pp
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