Economy

Where the markets are moving on the Fed, rates, recession risk and the wider economy.

▾Economy$70.1k

$19.8k▾Economic Policy(4 events)

$13.2k▾Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

$11.4k25 bps decrease16¢▲ 8.5pp

$1.8k25 bps increase37¢▼ 18.5pp

$4.9k▾Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

$1.8k25 bps increase36¢▲ 3.5pp

$3.1kNo Change54¢▲ 2.0pp

$1.3kWill the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?47¢▲ 19.0pp

$314Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?47¢▼ 0.5pp

$13.9k▾Macro Indicators(5 events)

$7.1k▾October Inflation China - Annual

$2.2k0.7% to 0.8%45¢▲ 3.0pp

$4.8k0.9% to 1.0%20¢▼ 19.5pp

$3.3k▾South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

$2.5k2.7% to 2.9%41¢▲ 18.6pp

$7631.5% to 1.7%1¢▼ 14.1pp

$1.7kWill UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?38¢▼ 5.7pp

$1.1kWill ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?19¢▼ 18.0pp

$853Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?13¢▼ 15.5pp

$16.4k▾Others(5 events)

$5.5kWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?25¢▼ 23.0pp

$4.9kWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?38¢▼ 2.0pp

$3.4k▾USD x Iranian rials End of October?

$1.9k2.7-2.8M99¢▲ 19.3pp

$1.5k2.6-2.7M1¢▼ 16.3pp

see all (2 more)↓

$15.6k▾real estate(5 events)

$4.9kWill the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?56¢▲ 19.1pp

$4.7k▾What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

$1.3k$318K - $323K25¢▼ 11.8pp

$3.5k$313K - $318K29¢▼ 5.0pp

$2.4kWill the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?50¢▲ 15.7pp

$2.2kWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?5¢▼ 29.6pp

$1.3kWill the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?4¢▼ 2.7pp

$4.3k▾Global Rates(3 events)

$2.7kWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?44¢▼ 1.0pp

$1.3kWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?62¢▲ 35.5pp

$381Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?6¢▼ 22.1pp