How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket·Economy·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 17:59 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?” on Polymarket are “5.1%” at 100%, “5.3%” at 100% and “4.5%” at 100%. The event has $602 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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opened · Sep 10, 2026closedresolved · Sep 23, 2026
