How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
Polymarket·Economy·ends Dec 1, 2026
As of 07:49 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?” on Polymarket are “5.06%” at 40% (-23pp in 24h), “5.09%” at 39% (-8pp in 24h) and “5.13%” at 30% (-3pp in 24h). The event has $1.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$1.3k
outcomes
9
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
US CPIEconomyFinanceFed RatesRecurringTreasuries
marketselected outcome
5.06%
rank #1
40¢
▼ 23.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$275
vol 24h
$263
spread
0.18
ends
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
